Arms and Artificial Intelligence: Weapon and Arms Control Applications of Advanced ComputingThe impact of information technology in the field of military decision making is superficially less visible than that of a number of other weapon developments, though its importance has grown steadily since the beginning of the 1980s. Owing to its potential role in modern weapon systems and the prospect of its inclusion as an essential ingredient in many military projects such as the Strategic Defence Initiative, it has become the focus of special interest and efforts. This book is the first attempt to present a broad overview of the prospects for information technology in general, and machine intelligence in particular, in the context of international security. The dangers and promises of weapon and arms control applications of computers and artificial intelligence to decision-making processes are analysed in a technical, strategic, and political perspective by experts from six different countries. In an introductory chapter, Allan Din presents a generic overview of artificial intelligence and its prospects. Thirteen contributors then discuss the conceptual and technical framework of artificial intelligence, analyse implications for weapon systems and strategy, and discuss possible applications to arms control verification and modelling. |
Contents
The prospects for artificial intelligence in weapon | 3 |
3 | 27 |
An introduction to artificial intelligence | 33 |
Expert systems | 41 |
Hardware requirements for artificial intelligence | 47 |
Sequential processing | 56 |
Developments in VLSI and related areas | 68 |
Comparison of human and machine intelligence in the context | 75 |
Software and systems issues in strategic defence | 135 |
Artificial intelligence and disarmament | 153 |
Computer applications in monitoring and verification technologies | 165 |
Knowledgebased simulation for studying issues | 179 |
A first step towards a more ambitious methodology | 186 |
a gametheoretic analysis | 193 |
Appendix 11A A gametheoretic analysis | 207 |
an expert system for nuclear arms control | 214 |
Appendix 4A The problem of the three wise men | 84 |
Artificial intelligence and the automated tactical | 100 |
Conclusions and outlook | 221 |
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Common terms and phrases
AirLand Battle algorithms analysis arms control Army artificial intelligence assessment automated battlefield autonomous ballistic missile basic battle management behaviour C³I capabilities chooses COL's command and control communication complex computer architecture Computing Program concepts conventional crisis DARPA decision-making decisions Defense Electronics detection detector domain environment equilibrium escalation example execution expert system FOFA forces functions goal hardware human image processing important Initiative Inspectee involved knowledge language launch Lisp Lisp machines memory microcode military applications mixed strategy Nash equilibria NATO nodes offensive operations optimal inducement parallel pay-offs performance planning players political possible Prisoner's Dilemma problem processor Prolog real-time reliability requirements result robotics ROW's satellite sensors signal SIMD simulation SIPRI situation Soviet Soviet Union Strategic Computing strategic defence Strategic Defense Initiative structure tactical battlefield tactical nuclear weapons target tasks techniques tion verification war-fighting weapon systems