Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs: Proceedings of the Fifth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making, Darmstadt, 1–4 September, 1975H. Jungermann, G. De Zeeuw It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest. |
Contents
Editors Introduction | 3 |
Comments | 37 |
Some Experimental Results | 45 |
Copyright | |
23 other sections not shown
Other editions - View all
Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs: Proceedings of the Fifth ... H. Jungermann,G. De Zeeuw No preview available - 1977 |
Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs: Proceedings of the Fifth ... H. Jungermann,G. De Zeeuw No preview available - 2011 |
Common terms and phrases
additive alternatives analysis applications of MAUT approach assumed assumption attribute dimensions axiom systems axiomatization bability Bayesian Behavior and Human calibration curves choice cognitive cognitive psychology composition rule correlation credible interval decision maker decision problems decision theory discussed Dordrecht-Holland elicitation empirical estimates evaluation example experiment final placements forecasts fractiles gambles given independence individual information processing intervals Journal of Experimental judgments Jungermann and G Kahneman Lichtenstein mean measurement method multi-attribute utility theory Murphy normative optimal Oregon Research Institute Ouija outcomes paper payoff Pitz players praxiology predictions preference probabilistic probability assessments probability distributions procedure question Raiffa rationality responses risk sample scale scoring rule Section session situations Slovic Staël von Holstein statistical strategy structure subjective probability task technique tion Tversky uncertainty University utility functions utility theory validity value-wise variables weights West Germany Winkler Zeeuw eds