Handbook of Business Forecasting |
Contents
TIMESERIES SMOOTHING APPROACHES | 13 |
HigherOrder Smoothing | 30 |
Combining Seasonality and Smoothing | 62 |
Copyright | |
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Common terms and phrases
accuracy actual data point actual value addfactor addition alpha analyst approach autocorrelation Box-Jenkins calculated causal modeling Chapter coefficient column COMCTS COMENG cross-sectional regression cycle D-W statistic data series data set degrees of freedom determine developed discussion econometric employment equation line equation's error terms examine example Exercise explanatory variables exponential smoothing F-statistic Figure fore forecast error Forecasting Methods heteroskedasticity historical data housing starts identify impact important income independent variables indicates individual influence interest rates judgmental linear major MANEMP measures model solution monthly movements moving average multicollinearity nomic number of observations partial autocorrelations percent change period polynomial population procedures projection provides qualitative quantitative quarter regression analysis regression equation Regression Results relationship remove represents residuals seasonal factors seasonal pattern seasonally adjusted serial correlation significant simple specific step t-ratio Table techniques tests tion trend utilized variance variation weight