Passage to a Human World: The Dynamics of Creating Global Wealth

Front Cover
Transaction Publishers - Political Science - 390 pages
"Singer convincingly demonstrates that econ-omic growth is the central reality of the modern era... His arguments are sometimes subtle, but he walks the reader through them with schematized subheadings, summaries, and relentless patience." --Peter Brimelow, The Wall Street Journal

Responding to the Club of Rome's Limit to Growth and its successors, Singer argues that the dominant characteristic of the modern era is almost completely unrecognized: the world's passage, in the few centuries surrounding our own, from poverty to wealth. This rapid transformation in the condition of human life--from poor to wealthy, from nature-dominated to human--dominated is described here, as are the reasons why it has been largely ignored.

 

Contents

What Is Happening in History
1
List of Tables TextTables 1 Some Catchy Numbers to Describe the Passage to a Human World
13
Comparison of the Amounts of Change
14
The Nature and Sources of Wealth
17
Evaluating LongTerm National Growth Rates
25
The Spread of Wealth Around the World
31
The Distribution of Wealth in the World Today
43
The Distribution of Wealth in the World 1984
44
A Glimpse at the Future
275
The Nine Biggest Countries in 2064 Population
277
The Eight Richest Big Countries in 2064
278
The Seven Biggest Economies in 2064
280
A Possible Distribution of Wealth in the World 2064
281
Changing Income Levels in the World
282
The Changing Distribution of People in the World
286
A Final Comment
293

Alternative Scenarios for Future Growth Rates of India
50
The Earth Has Plenty
61
Perspective on the World Population Explosion
67
Running Out of Raw Materials The Scarcity Error
75
Use of Raw Materials in the United States
80
Everything else Raw Materials Excluding Food Fuel
81
Use of NonRenewable Raw Materials in the United States
83
Feeding the Exploded Population is a Task
91
Energy in Transition
119
World Energy Budgets
123
Possible Sources of Energy for the Next 200 Years
133
Water Shortages and the Power of Innumeracy
135
The Misplaced Concern About Other
141
Hyothetical Material X
145
Everything else in more detail
147
Metal Use in the United States Typical Recent Year
153
Problems and DangersReal and Imaginary
159
Natural and Other Disasters
181
Technology is a Friend Not an Enemy
199
Reducing the Effects of Aging
205
Low NationalMorale Among University
225
The Hypothesis of Low National Morale
253
Geographic Changes in the Distribution of People 19842064
296
Geographic Changes in the Distribution of Wealth 19842064
298
Summary of the Spread of Wealth by Region
300
The Nine Biggest Countries Population 198420242064
301
The Seven Biggest Economies GNP 198420242064
302
Ranks in 2064
303
The Idea of Extraction from the Earth
311
E PolicyMaking Concerning Subtle Environmental Risks
325
Endnotes
339
EndTables
359
Nearly Wealthy Countries
360
Countries Where Economic Growth is Well Begun
361
Barely Started Countries
362
World Bank Estimates of Purchasing Power Parities
369
Use of Raw Materials in the U S
370
Hypothetical Number Manipulation
373
Another Diagnostic Test for Low National Morale
374
Projection Reference Table
376
The Members of the Small Country Groups
380
Index
383
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