Technology Projection Modeling of Future Computer SystemsIn response to the computer industry's urgent need for long-range planning, this book's primary purpose is to provide a method for envisioning future computer systems, entry and mid-range, through the year 2000. The development of a systems model provides a method for envisioning future systems, based on day-to-day decisions about technology, development processes, and system designs. The book focuses on system hardware rather than operating systems. |
Contents
THE POWER OF NEW TECHNOLOGY | 1 |
Bandwidth Growth | 2 |
LEARNING FROM SYSTEMS PAST | 7 |
Copyright | |
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1st Lvl 2nd Lvl application drivers application enablers application program bandwidth bipolar calculations Cards circuit density CMOS logic Communications Subsystem component specifications component technology computer systems cost reduction cost/performance cycles per instruction DASD/SR data rate design point discussed distributed end user end-user Equation example fiber optics frames functions future systems GB-Opt growth hardware implementation increase intelligent work stations interface knowledge-based applications magnetic DASD mainframe mass storage Mbps megabytes microcode midrange systems MIPS rate multiprocessor natural language forms no-fault number of bytes operating system optical files overall system parallel processing period personal computer processor projection ratio reliability improvement response save/restore devices semiconductor shown in Figure shows station subsystem system bus system cost system design system developer system model system performance System Reliability System Trends technology calendar tion total system TR/HR transactions per hour uniprocessor voice