Toward a Quantitative Theory of the Dynamics of Conflict: ACDA/ST-127 |
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A₁ A₂ alternative ap-k asymmetric game attitudes and beliefs Axiom of Choice B₁ B1 B₂ behavioral theory Chicken game Choice-Matching Theory choose CONCLUSIONS condition conflict situations CONFR correct predictions defined Dilemma and Chicken Egypt equivalent example experimental function Hence inescapable sanction Israel Lemma M₁ meta rational metaequilibria metagame based metagame theory metagame tree metarational outcomes minmax move Nash equilibrium nuclear null hypothesis number of successful number of trials objective measures observed number obtained occur opponent option ordinal ordinal utility payoff matrix player player's choice plays correctly Policy-Matching Theory Predict A1 Predict Predict A2 prediction success preference assumptions preference orderings prime metagame Prisoner's Dilemma rational outcomes RESULTS Test Role-Reversal Theory shown in Figure Soviets strategy subset successful predictions symmetric equilibrium Table teaching hypothesis Test of Theory two-person Unfav unfavorable variables