Wicked Problems – Social Messes: Decision Support Modelling with Morphological Analysis

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Springer Science & Business Media, Jul 2, 2011 - Business & Economics - 106 pages
This is the first dedicated book to be published on computer-aided General Morphological Analysis (GMA) as a non-quantified modelling method. It presents the history and theory of GMA and describes how it is used to develop interactive, non-quantified inference models. Eleven case studies are presented out of more than 100 projects carried out since 1995, illustrating how GMA has been employed for structuring complex policy and planning issues, developing scenario and strategy laboratories, and analysing organisational and stakeholder structures. Also discussed are the concepts of “wicked problems” and “social messes”, their characteristics and treatment, and problems concerning the facilitation of morphological analysis workshops.
 

Contents

Introduction
1
General Morphological Analysis GMA
7
Wicked Problems and Genuine Uncertainty
19
Modelling Complex Policy Issues with Morphological Analysis
31
Strengths Limitations and Advanced Topics
39
On the Formal Properties of Morphological Models
47
Facilitating GMA Workshops
61
GMA Case Studies
69
About Fritz Zwicky
87
Glossary of Terms
91
References and Further Reading
103
Copyright

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About the author (2011)

Tom Ritchey is a former Research Director for the Institution for Technology Foresight and Assessment at the Swedish National Defence Research Agency (FOI) in Stockholm. He is the founder of the Swedish Morphological Society, is director of Ritchey Consulting Inc. and a founding partner in the U.K. based Strategy Foresight Partnership LLP.

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