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ad valorem tax additional ad valorem assume average wholesale posted billion pesos black market premium Board of Energy calculated centavos Changes in CPI CN CN CN consumer price index CPI levels DEFFECEEEE demand-pull dollar black market dollar-denominated Eable EEROERE ERBMERP Exogenous Assumptions explanatory variables export Figure Fitted Equation import duties import price index index for non-fuels Inflation Forecasting Model inflationary INSTITUTE FOR DEVELOPMENT item under price ith food item June June-December 1985 lag operator legislated minimum wage Levels and Percent long-run elasticities money supply MONOGRAPH SERIES monthly CPI Monthly Inflation Forecasting monthly inflation rates Monthly Percent Changes official exchange rate Partial Autocorrelation Functions peso peso-denominated Petroleum Prices Philippine Institute PMQUSNF price ceiling price control price equation price of petroleum quarter of 1985 real output regression Scenario serial correlation Simulation statistic total liquidity treasury bills UJ UJ UJ valorem duties values wholesale posted price