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annual inflation Bank became independent Bank of Chile Bank of Costa baseline specification Bernanke Central Bank became Central Bank Single CENTRAL DE CHILE Clarida coefficient associated Colombia conduct monetary policy Corbo Costa Rica currency board Documentos de Trabajo Economía Economic enters the equation Evolución exchange rate anchor expected inflation explicit Figure financial system Fischer fixed exchange rate foreign interest rate Goodhart high inflation Hodrick and Prescott Implicit Central Bank independent monetary policy industrial countries inflation close inflation forecast inflation gap inflation rate inflation target introduced J-Test Latin America macroeconomic monetary authorities monetary framework monetary policy regime Monetary Policy Rules money anchor nominal anchor nominal interest rate objective observed inflation output gap Perspectivas Peru policy makers Política Monetaria Prescott filter rate of inflation real exchange rate real interest rate reducing inflation reduction of inflation regressor sample period statistically significant trajectory Transmission Mechanism unemployment gap Wald test www.bccr.fi.cr BANCO CENTRAL