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Volatility of monthly stock market returns 198598
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analysts Andrei Shleifer average Bureau of Economic choice coefficient consumption risk correlation cost currency death rates demand districts dividend payers dividend premium earnings surprises Economic Research effect equation equilibrium equity premium estimates Evidence exchange rate exchange rate pass-through exchange rate volatility expected factor Financial Economics forecast foreign Gini coefficient growth firms Health Heckman impact increase infant initiation inside the back insider trading instructions inside Instrumental Variables investors James Heckman Jean Tirole Journal of Finance lead pipes lead poisoning lead service lead water lines market volatility Matthew Richardson measure monetary National Bureau NBER NBER Working Papers negative non-negative surprises occupations outcomes Panel Partial Subscription payers and nonpayers percent positive surprises predicted ratio regression relative reported retirement risk aversion sample schooling service pipes stillbirth stock market stock price subperiod Table teachers U.S. dollars utility variance wage workers zero