China's Changing Political Landscape: Prospects for Democracy (Google eBook)

Front Cover
Cheng Li
Brookings Institution Press, 2009 - Political Science - 342 pages
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While China's economic rise is being watched closely around the world, the country's changing political landscape is intriguing, as well. Forces unleashed by market reforms are profoundly recasting state-society relations. Will the Middle Kingdom transition rapidly, slowly, or not at all to political democracy? In China's Changing Political Landscape, leading experts examine the prospects for democracy in the world's most populous nation. China's political transformation is unlikely to follow a linear path. Possible scenarios include development of democracy as we understand it; democracy with more clearly Chinese characteristics; mounting regime instability due to political and socioeconomic crises; and a modified authoritarianism, perhaps modeled on other Asian examples such as Singapore. Which road China ultimately takes will depend on the interplay of socioeconomic forces, institutional developments, leadership succession, and demographic trends. Cheng Li and his colleagues break down a number of issues in Chinese domestic politics, including changing leadership dynamics; the rise of business elites; increased demand for the rule of law; and shifting civil-military relations. Although the contributors clash on many issues, they do agree on one thing: the political trajectory of this economic powerhouse will have profound implications, not only for 1.3 billion Chinese people, but also for the world as a whole.

  

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Contents

Assessing Chinas Political Development
1
What Are the Chinese Saying?
25
Ideological Change and Incremental Democracy in
44
Institutionalization and the Changing Dynamics of
61
Will Chinas Lost Generation Find a Path to Democracy?
98
Pendulum Swing or Midcourse Correction?
142
Media Law and Civil Society
159
Legalization without Democratization in China under Hu Jintao
185
What Does the Chinese Communist
212
A Difficult Challenge for Chinese Leaders
229
Straining against the Yoke? CivilMilitary Relations in
267
External
283
Contributors
323
Index
331
Copyright

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About the author (2009)

Cheng Li is a senior fellow in the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institution. His previous books include "China's Leaders: The New Generation" (Rowman and LIttlefield, 2001) and "Rediscovering China: Dynamics and Dilemmas of Reform" (Rowman and Littlefield, 1997).

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