Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Front Cover
Richards J. Heuer
Novinka Books, 2006 - Psychology - 216 pages
8 Reviews
With intelligence now getting a front-row seat in governments around the world, this book is especially timely. Intelligence rains in, but without an understanding of the nature of the intelligence, it accumulates in puddles of obscurity. The problems therefore seem to be how to obtain it, how to understand it, and how to sell it to one's bosses. This book deals with how to understand it. Three fundamental points are at the heart of this presentation about the cognitive challenges intelligence analysts face: The mind is poorly "wired" to deal effectively with both inherent uncertainty (the natural fog surrounding complex, indeterminate intelligence issues) and induced uncertainty (the man-made fog fabricated by denial and deception operations). Even increased awareness of cognitive and other "unmotivated" biases, such as the tendency to see information confirming an already-held judgement more vividly than one sees "disconfirming" information, does little by itself to help analysts deal effectively with uncertainty. Tools and techniques that gear the analyst's mind to apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex issues on which information is incomplete, ambiguous, and often deliberately distorted. Key examples of such intellectual devices include techniques for structuring information, challenging assumptions, and exploring alternative interpretations. This book was first issued by the CIA.

From inside the book

What people are saying - Write a review

User ratings

5 stars
3
4 stars
2
3 stars
2
2 stars
1
1 star
0

Review: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

User Review  - Jason Mock - Goodreads

A little dry but some interesting insights on how our brain works. Read full review

Review: Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

User Review  - Muhammad al-Khwarizmi - Goodreads

Mostly not very new for me but solid nonetheless. Read full review

Contents

Thinking about Thinking
15
How Do We Remember
31
Transcending
47
Copyright

10 other sections not shown

Common terms and phrases

References to this book

All Book Search results »

Bibliographic information