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1904 to January 1914 to November 1916 to December advance notice given amount of advance announcing stock declines announcing stock rises August 25 Boston Stock Exchange business conditions cash dividends cent accuracy change in dividend Chic class of announcements COMPARATIVE TABLE—EFFECTIVENESS Curb cycle days combined DEC.-DEP December 19 December 24 DECREASE IN RATE degree of discounting discounting effectiveness discounting function dividend announcing stock dividend income dividend increase dividend is discounted dividend rate effective discounting failure to discount forecast IMPROVEMENT-BOOM incl Increase in dividend ITEM January 20 June 20 level of stock MARKET INDICATES ANNOUNCEMENTS market to discount ment months advance notice MONTHS STOCK MARKET nouncement November 19 November 21 NUMBER OF MONTHS PERCENT OF ACCURACY PERCENTAGE Philadelphia Stock Exchange price behavior railroads RATE INDUSTRIALS rights and stock SHOWING DISCOUNT speculator Steel stock dividends stock market discounts sub-periods Table TABLE—EFFECTIVENESS OF DISCOUNTING three months advance York Stock Exchange