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according accuracy analysis actual buying prices actual changes actual selling prices aggregate assumption average b(pb b(ps balance series balances basic test variates behaviour cent Chapter commodity exports considered constraints correlation corresponding covariance matrix decreases dependent variable deviations disconformity distributed lag distribution disturbances Dutch econometric Economic exogenous explanatory variables firms forecasting errors fractions frequency Frequency distributions function generalised GERMAN LEATHER hence implies increase indifference curves Industry stages inequality coefficients instrument investment lagged least-squares LEATHER AND SHOE linear maximisation mean value method multicollinearity negative Netherlands noncontrolled variables observed parameters planned selling prices plausible point estimates point predictions policy-maker predicted and actual predicted changes quadratic quadratic form quartiles relations respect result retailers in shoes sample Scandinavia Section SHOE INDUSTRY standard deviations statistical stocks Suppose Table tion traders in hides turning point errors underestimation of changes variance vector X₁ zero