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20 quarters aggregate demand AS-shock Australia-Japan cause of real Choleski decomposition Clarida and Gali Cointegration deflation depreciation and inflation DISCUSSION PAPERS dynamic response empirical analysis Equation equilibrium exchange rate error variance decompositions exchange rate depreciation exchange rate movements exchange rate qt FEVDs floating exchange rate forecast error variance forecast horizon Genetic Algorithms important in explaining impulse response functions LM shocks long-run equilibrium level long-run real exchange Mundell-Fleming model nominal monetary LM open economy macro-model output yt partial equilibrium pass-through perspective period in Australia positive IS shock post-float period provides the theoretical rational expectations open real demand real exchange rate real shocks regional and urban relative price movements restrictions rise in relative Rod Jensen School of Economics shock causes shocks appear shocks that impact short-run sticky prices stochastic rational expectations structural shocks structural var SVAR SVAR methodology theoretical priors transmission channels transmission mechanisms unit root test University of Queensland vector autoregression