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1980 elections aggregate American Enterprise Institute American National Election American Political Science budget C.Q. Weekly Report Campaign expenditures candidates and campaigns candidates for open chal chapter coalitions coattail effects committees congressional candidates Congressional Quarterly congressional vote constituents David Mayhew defeated didates district economic elec Electoral Connection electoral politics equations Familiarity favor Fenno Fiorina gressional elections groups House and Senate House Candidates House Elections House incumbents House members Ibid important incumbent's Independent Variables individual influence institutional issues Jacobson legislative lengers mass media Mayhew members of Congress midterm National Election Study NES/CPS American National nonincumbent open seats paign partisan party identification party's percent political action committees Political Science politicians president presidential popularity primary election problem programs Reagan reelection Regression Republican challengers responsible Senate candidates Senate elections Senate incumbents Source spending Standard Coefficient strategies Table thermometer tion turnout voters voting behavior voting decisions Washington winning Yale University