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Aaron administration agencies Alan Berg Allen Schick alternative analysis assistance benefits billion Brookings Institution Brookings Papers budget capital changes cities Committee Congress costs countries decisions defense Director domestic earnings econometric Economic Activity Economic Studies economists effective employment eral federal government financing fiscal forces Foreign Policy Studies funds groups growth Henry Aaron housing important improve incentives income tax increase industry inflation interest investment issues Japan Japanese labor Latin American major MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE ment military monetary negative income tax nomic officials Okun payroll tax percent political poor poverty President presidential problems proposed Published reform regulation relations Schultze sector Senior Fellow social security spending staff Studies Program subsidy suggests Taiwan tion tive trade transport unions United University urban wage WASHINGTON D.C. welfare Wilfred Owen William Poole