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Allied Products analysis APRL autoregressive model average of Construction Box and Jenkins CD CD CD D CD CHEM civilian labor force coefficients Construction at lag counterpart at lag cross-correlation cross-modeled December DISTRIBUTED LAG Econometric Model ELEC Employment at lags employment data employment levels employment series estimates exogenous export Fabricated Metal FMET Food and Kindred FURN Furniture and Fixtures Glass Products independent variables Input-Output Model interindustry dependencies January 1961-December Kindred Products lag terms Lumber and Wood MACH ment model of employment national counterpart National Science Foundation national series NATL OMFG PAPR plots PMET predictions Primary Metals Printing and Publishing PRNT proxy Rand Corporation recession Retail Trade Salary Income Seattle Seattle's Section series at lag series was modeled SHIP Snohomish Counties Table three-point right-moving average total industrial employment TRAD trend and seasonal TRNS two-point right-moving average Wholesale and Retail Wood Products