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average Close Slack Wk college graduates column indicates loss consequences of job control group CPS sampling weights cyclical dependent variable difference estimates difference-in-difference estimates due to plant due to position/shift due to slack dummy variables DWS survey date DWS's earnings decline earnings loss educated workers educational categories employment probabilities explanatory variable incidence of job increase in job job losers job loss due job loss rates job stability log real weekly Loss by Reason lost a job lost job non-displaced workers part-time rate part-time status percent percentage points PI Close Slack plant closing position/shift abolished post-displacement employment prior probability density function probability of job probit model PSID Pull-Time Workers rates of job real weekly earnings reason for job recall period report job loss slack labor market Slack Wk Pos standard errors substantial survey-date three-year job loss Three-Year Rate Total PI Close Wk Pos Abol workers displaced due workers who report