Cyclical Fluctuations in the Exports of the United States Since 1879Economic research into the relationship of foreign trade and domestic business cycles in the USA, with particular reference to changes in export during the period from 1879 to 1961 - covers reasons for instability in prices of and demand for consumer goods, industrial products, etc., and the impact thereof on the u.s. Economy. |
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Contents
Traditional Versus Expansionist Views on Export Changes During | 3 |
Empirical Studies | 15 |
Leads and Lags of Troughs in U S Export Values at Troughs | 20 |
Copyright | |
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amplitudes average behavior business contractions business expansions cent Chart class of exports coincide commodity classes conformity indexes crude materials exports cycle trough cyclical DBC clearings index DBC Moore index DBC peaks DBC troughs DBC turns domestic business cycle domestic cycles domestic demand domestic wholesale prices earlier period economy export classes export turns factures finished manufactures exports fluctuations food exports foreign demand Full cycle instability instability index instances interwar period later period leads and lags measures movements NBER notes to Table Number of Quarters peaks and troughs positive relation price and quantity price changes quantities and prices quarterly rates of change Ratio scales ratios of rates Semimanu semimanufactures shift total export prices total export quantity total export value trends U.S. business cycles U.S. Export Quantities WIC peaks WIC troughs WIC turns world cycles world demand world import cycles world trade