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Ariel Pakes assets assume average duration bn kronor bonds borrowing requirement budget constraint budget deficit budget improvement budget process budgetary gains calculations Calvo capital income tax costs of inflation cuts and tax de-indexation deadweight loss debt issue delayed indexation denote discount discussion Economic estimate ex post real fiscal gains from high gains from inflation gopher at nber.harvard.edu government debt government's gross high inflation high-inflation scenario higher inflation rate http://nber.harvard.edu inflation alternative inflation target inflationary route institutional low inflation low-inflation scenario Macroeconomic marginal Mark McClellan market value measures monetary policy NBER Working Papers nominal interest rate nominalistic features Papers and Reprints parliament partial subscriptions pension payments percentage point Persson political costs post real interest present value real budget real cash flow real interest rate real value Riksbank Section social benefits social costs stabilization Stockholm University Svensson Sweden Swedish Tabellini tax increases tax revenue tax schedules tax system Torsten Persson