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1969 median earnings age category AINDUS and ASTATE AOCCUP and OCCUP(65 black and white black industry blue-collar and service categorical variable Census sample change and upgrading coefficients comparable whites conditional probability dual hypothesis dual labor market dualist employer changes employer shifts equation estimates for blacks estimates of occupational evidence explanatory variables firm and industry firm stayers industry movers industry stayers Industry-Change Status initial occupational level interfirm mobility interfirm shifts Kohen LABOR MARKET HYPOTHESIS Mature Men NLS measured National Longitudinal Surveys NLS respondents NLS samples Number of Employer obtained occupational advancement occupational change occupational mobility occupational status Ohio State University probability of upgrading racial differences racial groups reference group category reference group characteristics regressions relationship between AOCCUP Research on Poverty Secondary sector jobs shifts on occupational systematic racial differential Table three-digit U.S. Department upgrading probability estimate upgrading-probability estimates white mean whites and blacks Whites Blacks Young Men NLS Young Men sample