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Introduction by Stanley L Brodsky
The Clinical Prediction Process in Theory and
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actuarial prediction actuarial table aggression alcohol American Psychiatric Association appear assault assessment base rate Baxstrom Brown characteristics civil commitment clinical prediction clinician Cocozza cognitive context correlation court criminal criterion cutting score dangerous behavior decisions disorder environment environmental estimate ethical example factors false positives future violence given harm illusory correlations individual individual's institutionalization internal validity involuntary commitment issues juvenile lence male Meehl Megargee mental health profes mental health professionals mental hospitals mental patients mentally ill Monahan moral nonviolent noted Novaco occur offenders parole past percent person police population predicting violent behavior prediction of violent predictor prison probability of violence psychiatric psychiatrists and psychologists psychological questions rate of violent recent recidivism record released relevant reported risk robbery situations Smith social sociopathy statistical Steadman stress tion true positives U.S. Supreme Court validity variables violence prediction violent acts violent crime Wolfgang