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analysts annual rate appropriations average Balanced Budget Act baseline assumes baseline projections billion in 1987 billions of dollars budget authority budget projections Bureau of Economic CBO baseline CBO's Congressional Budget Office continuing resolution costs decline defense Denison economic assumptions economic growth effect employment cost index estimates exports factors Federal Reserve Board Figure fiscal year 1987 fixed investment forecast gross national product grow growth in productivity growth rate higher income increase industrial inflation interest rates labor force legislation lower measure Medicare ment monetary neo-Ricardian NIPA nonfarm off-budget oil prices On-budget OPEC outlays percent of GNP percentage point potential output productivity growth programs quarter of 1986 rate of unemployment real GNP real growth real interest rates recent reduce result revenues sector Social Security SOURCES spending stable-inflation rate Table targets Tax Reform Act tion Total trend trust funds U.S. dollar unemployment unemployment rate wages