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Electricity DemandLoad ShortTerm Forecasting Data
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actual temperature APE Sun approximation properties ARNN models asymptotic autoregressive average Chapter component daily minimum daily total load data set effective temperature Equation estimate example of forecasts feature selection feature selection algorithms feature set feedforward feedforward nets Figure forecast temperature forecasts of hourly forecasts of peak function input variables input-featured neural nets Le(t linear models Lk(t Lm(t load and temperature load data load forecasting problems load profiles LOESS logistic function logistic nodes methods morning peak network architecture network training neural networks nonlinear relationship nonparametric output overfitting parameters peak demands peak loads percentage error Power and Light predicting peak prediction error predictor preprocessing projection direction projection index projection pursuit projection pursuit training Puget Sound Power QUERIB regression model scatter plot selection algorithms series prediction single hidden layer SISO subnets statistics subnets Table temperature data temperature variables Theorem training algorithms training data Tue.-Fri type Lm updates vector Wed-Fri