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75 individuals ACCURACY OF INDIVIDUAL actual values amonq ASA-NBER surveys Auerbach Bureau of Economic BUSINESS OUTLOOK SURVEYS CEDG CBI GNP coefficients coefficients of variation correspondinq coveraqe deqree Economic Research Empirical Study entries in column fiqures forecast errors forecastinq FORECASTS FROM BUSINESS GNP IPD RGNP GROUP FORECASTS INDIVIDUAL AND GROUP individual forecasts individual RMSE's larqe larqer least 12 Lipsey macroeconomic marqinal mean predictions mean square errors measures of error measures refer medians Mj/Mai ratios National Bureau NBER NBER WORKING PAPER nominal GNP overall qroup mean participants price deflator IPD Q0 Ql Q2 qains Ql Q2 Q3 qraphs qroup averaqes qroup mean forecasts quarterly rank correlations RGNP UR CEDG riqht RMS errors RMSE root mean square RSME Rudiger Dornbusch series of qroup six variables skewed standard deviation statistics stronq summary measures survey members Table target quarter tarqet periods tend unemployment rate VARIABLE AND TARGET variables covered Victor Zarnowitz