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aggregate alternatives approach to measuring average inflation Bank of Canada Bank of Dallas break in trend Brischetto and Richards Bryan and Cecchetti central bank change in inflation coefficients common inflation component price changes convex combination core inflation measures core measures core services CPI ex food CPI inflation detected the break disaggregate OER Dolmas dynamic factor model Eckstein Edgeworth equation estimate euro area evaluate ex ante inflationary example excess kurtosis expectational variables expenditure weight exponentially smoothed Federal Reserve Bank focus food and energy headline index index numbers inflation ex inflation expectations interest rate Keynesian mean and median measurement of core measuring core inflation median and trimmed median CPI monetary policy optimal output gap overall CPI percent percentage point Phillips curve post inflationary pressure rational expectations Rich and Steindel Siviero and Veronese's Taylor rule trend in headline trimmed mean CPI trimmed mean inflation volatile weighting scheme Weymark and Shintani