Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

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Gotham Books, May 1, 2004 - Business & Economics - 272 pages
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One of America's foremost prognosticators and author of the bestseller and management classic The Art of the Long View discusses the big surprises ahead, the resulting scenarios that are creating the future of our world, and what they will mean for you and your business. The world we live in today is more volatile than ever. At times it seems that the only constant we can rely on is change itself-and what the future will bring appears to be anybody's guess. But Peter Schwartz, one of the most visionary scenario planners of our time, believes the future is taking shape around us now, and that by taking a closer look at the changes in action today, we can predict what the world of tomorrow will be like. With Inevitable Surprises, Schwartz offers a provocative look at the forces that are dramatically reshaping our world-and shows what we can do to plan ahead for our society, our businesses, and ourselves. Each chapter takes a predetermined new reality that we will soon face-including regenerative medicine, global climate change, an aging population in the West, and the rise of terrorism-and offers critical foresight for the coming decades. Ultimately, Schwartz brings his analyses of these developments together to offer three overarching scenarios that are possible directions for world history in the coming years, and outlines the implications for each. Timely, thought-provoking, and endlessly fascinating, Peter Schwartz's Inevitable Surprises is a book no one in business-or anyone with an interest in the future-can afford to miss.--Publisher description.

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GBN: GBN Presents Peter Schwartz
Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence. July 2003 (Read the pre-event materials). "If there is anyone who does not need an ... ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=14200

Schwartz Says Prepare for “Inevitable Surprises” :: designintelligence
designintelligence · Almanac 1 · FOF: Management by Design · Home / Articles / News / Conferences / Videos / About / Contact / Bookstore. October 15, 2004 ... articles/ archive/ 2315/

futurefuel Reads Inevitable Surprises « futurefuel
foregrounding the Resiliance. Home · _____The Gleanings and I_____ · ______reading assignments______ · ____Behind futurefuel____ ... 2008/ 01/ 13/ futurefuel-reads-inevitable-surprises/

The Nature of Predetermined Elements : Inevitable Surprises
How do I know all this? Because I have one of the most interesting jobs in the world. I lead Global Business Network (GBN), the world's preeminent research ... article/ 6401.html

Inevitable Surprises — Summary | getabstract
Download the five-page summary of Inevitable Surprises by Peter Schwartz (Penguin Group (USA), 2003). Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence;jsessionid=0SBa9FApTSa9QXmy?dataId=3880

Internet Time Blog: Inevitable Surprises & Scenario Learning
Inevitable Surprises & Scenario Learning. Inevitable Surprises by Peter Schwartz. Hang on tight, for we're all going on a roller coaster ride. Science? ... blog/ archives/ 001130.html

In View - NHS board level development team
Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence by Peter Schwartz, Free Press, 2004. NOW YOU’VE READ THIS BOOK, MAYBE YOU’LL LIKE… ... inview/ inviewarticle.aspx?id=177

Richard Sprague: Inevitable Surprises
[my thoughts about the book Inevitable Surprises by Peter Schwartz]. Predicting the future is not as hard as it looks. If extra rain in the mountains ... 2006/ 04/ inevitable-surprises.html

Inevitable Surprises
“ Status quo is high risk. in a world of surprises.” ©. 2007 by GBN, a member of Monitor Group. All rights reserved. ... assets/ inevitable07am.pdf

Climate Change and National Security : NPR
Peter Schwartz is the author of "Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence." He's a co-founder and chairman of the Global Business ... templates/ story/ story.php?storyId=10008429

About the author (2004)

Peter Schwartz is cofounder and chairman of Global Business Network, part of the Monitor Group, and is a partner in the venture capital firm Alta Partners. He is the author of The Art of the Long View and coauthor of The Long Boom and When Good Companies Do Bad Things. A highly sought-after speaker for business symposia, he has also advised filmmakers, including Steven Spielberg, on creating realistic versions of future societies.

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