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appreciation depreciation Approach to Exchange arbitrage Asian Economies David Asset Market Parity Asset Pricing asset-market and goods-market Baekin Cha Cheung City Polytechnic coefficients Daniel P.M. Chan demand for money Department of Economics domestic inflation dynamic Economics and Finance Economies David Mole effective exchange rate equilibrium Error Correction Approach estimates exchange rate determination explanatory power Firstly goods-market parity conditions H.K Baptist College Hendry heteroscedasticity Hong Kong Indonesia Kowloon lagged dependent variable lagged values lines represent critical Malaysia model of nominal monetary disequilibrium monetary ECM money supply nominal exchange rate nominal interest rate nominal rate out-of-sample PAPER SERIES Philippines Plot of Cumulative Polytechnic of Hong PPP effects Predictive Failure Test Raymond H.F. Kwok real exchange rate real interest rate real output Recursive Residuals represent critical bounds rest-of-the-world rho(p risk premium S.E. Asian Economies Serial Correlation significance level significant in three Skully straight lines represent Structural Stability Test Thailand transactions demand Woo CPHK