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2009 The Author(s actors analysis Basque Country behaviour bills cabinet Cambridge cent civic cleavage coalition coefficient conflict correlation countries democracies democratic dependent variable dimension economic effects electoral systems empirical environmental estimates Europe European Journal European Union evaluations exchange rate expected flat tax formateur Fortuyn Green parties hypothesis ideological immigration impact included indicates institutions interaction issues Journal of Political Laver left-right legislative legitimacy low education group measures Member ministers national elections Nice Treaty number of parties organisations outcomes Oxford parliament parliamentary participation party systems policy makers political parties Political Research Political Science political space portfolios Portugal postmaterialism preferences president presidential prospect theory PSOE referendums regimes regional elections relationship relevant responses semi-presidential significant social social capital speculative attacks Str0m structure subnational parties Table theory tion transgovernmental transposition turnover University Press veto players voluntary associations vote voters