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25 yrs experience analysis bank blue and white blue collar workers Bundesanstalt fur Arbeit Burlington Street Business Cycle CEPR detailed Discussion Papers earnings regressions effect on low-skilled effects of trade effects panel models exports firm Foreigner Share full sample Full Specification German Socio-Economic Panel gross national product GSOEP high-qualified inter-firm changes Intra-firm mobility ISCO job level John P Haisken-De Klaus F Zimmermann labor market labor mobility larger share male market problems migration and trade MIGRATION John mobility and intra-firm mobility is affected Mobility is measured Monetary negative effect occupational changes occupational mobility panel data Prev Jobs probit model Random effects panel sectors share of foreign share of immigrant skilled and unskilled Statistisches Bundesamt subscription t-values in parentheses Table trade and migration trade balance trade deficit ratio Transition Economics unification Union Density Union Member WAGE AND MOBILITY wage effects west Germany white collar workers workplace Zimmermann 1994