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agenda Alliance cohesion alternative futures American interests arms control arms reductions Asia Brezhnev Doctrine consequences continue conventional arms cooperation crackdown CSCE Czechoslovakia demonopolization detente deterrence domestic East East-West relations Eastern Europe effects elements European allies European future European political European security system European system factors foreign policy French and British German elections Gorbachev greater Hungary and Poland increased INF treaty influence institutional integration of Europe international relations intra-European intraregional liberalization Limited devolution limited reform limited reform/limited devolution maintain MID-TERM militarily military modernization Moscow multilateral neo-Stalinist nuclear weapons Ostpolitik perestroika political and economic political-security presence in Europe probability process of change process of reform RAND reemergence reinforce reintegration retreat from reform retreat/containment reversal of reform socialist pluralism Soviet Union superpower hegemony Superpower Retrenchment sustain systemic change tensions third zero U.S.-Soviet undermine unilateral Union and Eastern United USSR Uzbekistan variables Warsaw Pact West European West Germans Western Yugoslavia