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1983 arrestees ACLU aggravated assault apprehension strategy arrest histories arrest log arrest measure arrest productivity arrest rates arrested by ROP Arrestees 1981 Assigned to ROP bench warrant buy/bust catchability CATCHING CAREER CRIMINALS Chaiken and Chaiken coin toss committing comparison arrestees comparison officers crime control criminal activities criminal histories criminal records deservedness difference experimental Figure high rate winners high-rate offenders incarceration included initiated likelihood of arrest Metropolitan Police Department non-ROP officers number of arrests official arrests operations outcomes patrol percent of comparison perpetrator-oriented persons police agencies Police Foundation police units prisoners proactive tactics proportion prosecution as felonies Repeat Offender Project ROP activities ROP and comparison ROP arrestees ROP Investigation ROP officers ROP squads ROP targets ROP unit ROP-initiated targets sample serendipitously surveillance target selection targeted by ROP targets and arrests tion total arrest Total New Warrant total number types of targets undercover tactics unit-initiated targets warrant targets