Food Aid Projections for the Decade of the 1990s
National Academies Press, Jan 1, 1989 - Social Science - 183 pages
This book presents the results of a meeting held by the Board on Science and Technology for International Development. At this meeting, six groups of modelers presented their best estimates of the food aid/food commodity trade picture during the period 1991-2000. These estimates are based on each modeler's own database and own assumptions about trends in global policy, climate, population, and economics.
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96/97 YEAR FIGURE Africa aggregate Alan Shawn Feinstein Argentina Asia assumptions average Base Run centrally planned economies cereal equivalent CM CM coarse grains commercial cereal imports commercial food imports commercial imports consumption crop d d d d d decade decline Demand Low Demand developing countries domestic drought estimated food aid estimates of food exogenous exports Ezekiel FAPRI feed food aid needs food aid requirements forecasts foreign exchange global green revolution growth rates High Demand Low hunger IFPRI impact increase industrial countries Iowa State University LDCs levels livestock low income million metric tons million tons nutritional o o o o o percent period Policy Research Institute population growth projected rate of growth regions rice scenarios supply SWOPSIM trade liberalization trend trend estimate University of Guelph variables wheat wheat and coarse World Bank World Food yields