Chances Are--: Adventures in Probability

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Viking, 2006 - Mathematics - 319 pages
15 Reviews
A layman¬'s journey into the realm of probability¬ófrom poker to politics, weather to war, Monte Carlo to mortality

We search for certainty, but find only likelihood. All things are possible, only one thing actually happens; everything else is in the realm of probability. The twin disciplines of probability and statistics underpin every modern science and sketch the shape of all purposeful group activity¬ó politics, economics, medicine, law, sports¬ógiving humans a handle on the essential uncertainty of their existence. Yet while we are all aware of the hard facts, most of us still refuse to take account of probability¬ópreferring to drive, not fly; buying into market blips; smoking cigarettes; denying we will ever age.

There are some people, though¬ógamblers, risk buyers, forensic experts, doctors, strategists¬ó who find probability¬'s mass of incomplete uncertainties delightful and revelatory. Chances Are is their story. Combining philosophical and historical background with portraits of the men and women who command the forces of probability, this engaging, wide-ranging, and clearly written volume will be welcomed not only by the proven audiences for popular books like E=MC2 and The Golden Ratio but by anyone interested in the workings of fate.

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Review: Chances Are . . .: Adventures in Probability

User Review  - Louis - Goodreads

This is an entertaining and informative book about the science of randomness. Chapters deal with gambling, war, weather forecasting and other topics, and how they have been created or affected by ... Read full review

Review: Chances Are . . .: Adventures in Probability

User Review  - Bailey S. - Goodreads

Exceedingly interesting topic, but very poorly written. Read full review

Contents

Thinking
1
Discovering
12
Gambling
57
Copyright

7 other sections not shown

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About the author (2006)

Michael Kaplan studied European history at Harvard and Oxford. After a stint as producer/director at WGBH, he has been an award-winning writer and filmmaker working abroad for clients including governments, corporations, museums, and charities.
Ellen Kaplan trained as a classical archaeologist and has taught math, biology, Greek, Latin, and history. She and her husband, Robert, run the Math Circle, a nonprofit foundation dedicated to joyous participatory learning, and are the authors of The Art of the Infinite.

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