The Quality and Economic Significance of Anticipations Data: A Conference of the Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research
Princeton University Press, 1960 - Business forecasting - 466 pages
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acceleration principle actual aggregate analysis anticipations data average backlog behavior bias business cycle buying intentions buying plans buying prices capital expenditures carloadings cent Chart coefficient of determination coefficients collinearity Commerce-SEC companies consumer attitudes correlation corresponding decision decision problems decline deviations disposable income dollar Dun and Bradstreet durable economic employment equation estimates explain extrapolation Fabricated metals factors Federal Reserve Ferber firms forecast errors four-quarter change Franco Modigliani groups household hypothesis increase indicates individual industry intentions data inventory intentions investment June Katona labor force anticipations less manufacturing marginal change measure ment mortgage mortgage loans Mueller multiple correlation nondurables observations outlays percentage period plant and equipment predictive value production programs purchases quarter quarterly question questionnaire railroad shippers ratio regression relation relationship reported respondents sample seasonally adjusted second half significant statistical sumer Table tions trend turnover variables