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aggregate aggregate demand Agricultural Asian Link System Bank of Thailand behavioral equations capital stock CDMB changes coefficient coefficient of determination commodity components Constant Price country models Current Price DCKB demand deposit money banks determined DINVR Dollar Dummy Variable econometric model economy effects elasticities endogenous variables errors estimated exogenous exports final test Fixed Investment forecast foreign assets function GDP deflator GDPMP GDPR GNPR government consumption Gross Domestic Product Hong Kong import prices increase Indonesia interest rate ITOTR Japan Korea Kyoto University lagged linkage Malaysia monetary authorities Monetary Authority's monetary sector money supply multiplier NCGMA NFADMB NFAMA Nominal non-agricultural oooo.x output PGDP PGNP Philippines policy simulations Price Index price level ratio real GDP real income real sector root mean square sample period shocks Singapore SITC solution Southeast Asian Statistical Discrepancy STD.DEV Table 2 continued Taiwan Thailand Total trade model WLINK