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2.00 criterion level 2.00 or higher 216 ACTC+HSAV 216 institutions 3.75 criterion level 3.75 or higher 63 higher 84 institutions accuracy rate AAR ACT Assessment ACT Composite score ACTC & HSAV ACTC and HSAV ACTC models admissions Base-Year Logistic Regression based on ACTC baseline accuracy rates college grades correct classifications Decision theory Descriptive Statistics file consisted first-year college GPA first-year GPA levels fitted probability curves GPA ACTC GPA and ACT high school GPA higher first-year GPA higher HSAV HSAV model HSAV values HSAV(J increase in accuracy levels of 2.00 levels of first-year Logistic regression models maximum accuracy rate mean ACTC scores mean HSAV median baseline accuracy median SRs noncognitive factors nonenrolled students nonviable models numbers of institutions percentage of correct prediction accuracy prediction equations predictions based probabilities of success probability curves crossed probability distributions Sawyer score and HSAV Success in College summarized across institutions test scores typically validity statistics year's data