Historical Social Research, Issue 126Published jointly by QUANTUM [and] Zentrum für Historische Sozialforschung, 2008 - Social history |
Contents
A Further Look into the Demographybased Income Forecasting | 5 |
Focus | 7 |
forecasting with longmemory demographic dynamics p | 13 |
14 other sections not shown
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Common terms and phrases
age shares age structure aggregate population analysis andere anderen Antisemitismus ARFIMA model ARMA BACHMANN-MEDICK Bank Banque de France Befragten birth rate Box-Jenkins capita income changes chapter Charles Tilly cliometrics confidence band cross-section regression decades demographic components demographic shocks demographic system demographic variables Density for Observation der Stürmer developed and developing developing countries dynamics economic growth effect of CBR empirical endogenous Erinnerung estimates Figure Frage framework Gedächtnis higher historical impact income growth India interaction Juden Kernel Density long-memory long-range dependence long-run memory parameter methods MLPR negative Netzwerk Netzwerkanalyse nomic non-stationary output growth panel partial effect period periodogram persistence population density population growth population series regime regression Reuband sample significant social sociology sozialen stationary stochastic stochastic shocks Stürmer switching Table theoretical Tilly tion trend type-2 intercept unit root variations Verfahren wurde wurden Y/Ngr Zeit