The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble Over Earth's Future

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Yale University Press, Sep 3, 2013 - Business & Economics - 304 pages
18 Reviews
In 1980, the iconoclastic economist Julian Simon challenged celebrity biologist Paul Ehrlich to a bet. Their wager on the future prices of five metals captured the public’s imagination as a test of coming prosperity or doom. Ehrlich, author of the landmark book The Population Bomb, predicted that rising populations would cause overconsumption, resource scarcity, and famine—with apocalyptic consequences for humanity. Simon optimistically countered that human welfare would flourish thanks to flexible markets, technological change, and our collective ingenuity.   Simon and Ehrlich’s debate reflected a deepening national conflict over the future of the planet. The Bet weaves the two men’s lives and ideas together with the era’s partisan political clashes over the environment and the role of government. In a lively narrative leading from the dawning environmentalism of the 1960s through the pivotal presidential contest between Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan and on into the 1990s, Paul Sabin shows how the fight between Ehrlich and Simon—between environmental fears and free-market confidence—helped create the gulf separating environmentalists and their critics today. Drawing insights from both sides, Sabin argues for using social values, rather than economic or biological absolutes, to guide society’s crucial choices relating to climate change, the planet’s health, and our own.
  

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Review: The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble over Earth's Future

User Review  - Robharries - Goodreads

I enjoyed this mid-length book immensely. It is a solid overview of Ehrlich's rise to prominence and Simon's retort, both of their intellectual stories behind the famous wager are wrapped in the ... Read full review

Review: The Bet: Paul Ehrlich, Julian Simon, and Our Gamble over Earth's Future

User Review  - Mike - Goodreads

One of those rare cases where the podcast interview with the author is better than the book. I recall some of the debate on over-population when I was a kid but I never knew its origin. Ehrlich is an ... Read full review

Contents

INTRODUCTION
1
1 Biologist to the Rescue
10
2 Dreams and Fears of Growth
62
3 Listening to Cassandra
96
4 The Triumph of Optimism
131
5 Polarizing Politics
181
6 Betting the Future of the Planet
217
NOTES
229
SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY
267
INDEX
292
Copyright

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About the author (2013)

Paul Sabin is associate professor, Department of History, Yale University. He was founding director of the Environmental Leadership Program, a national nonprofit organization, and is the author of Crude Politics: The California Oil Market, 1900–1940.

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