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MESOSCALE AND SUBSYNOPTIC SCALE FORECASTING
Schultz PROFSERLNOAA Boulder Colo Reserved Paper
NUMERICAL MODEL PERFORMANCE
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advection Amer analysis anticyclonic atmosphere average bias boundary layer cell chase team Cheyenne circulation cloud cold Colorado computed convective cool season cyclone Denver dew point eastern equations errors fields Figure fore frequency frontal geopotential height geostrophic geostrophic wind guidance hail height indicated isentropic surface jet streak Kansas Lake Effect Snow lifted index lightning data low-level maximum MDCZ mean absolute error mesoscale Mesoscale convective complex Meteor meteorological moisture MOS forecasts National Weather Service NOAA nowcasting observed occurred operational output parameters pattern perfect prog period precipitation prediction predictors Preprints pressure PROFS radar region relative satellite imagery severe weather shown shows snowfall stations statistical storm surface synoptic scale technique temperature forecasts thunderstorm tion tornado outbreaks tropospheric trough upper values velocity verification vertical motion violent tornado warm wind profiles