A Manager's Guide to Technology Forecasting and Strategy Analysis Methods
Technology forecasting is one of the most formidable challenges facing many organizations. In A Manager's Guide..., Stephen Millet and Edward Honton provide a guide for corporate and technology managers, planners, and analysts looking for a foundation on which to base technological forecasts and decision making. The authors assess 20 forecasting methods, evaluate their advantages and disadvantages, and suggest applications and uses. This book provides a profile of the technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods available today to guide input to the corporate decision-making process. Trend Analyses: Trend Extrapolation, Time Series Estimation, Regression Analysis, Econometrics, Systems Dynamics, S-Curves, Historical Analogies, Input-Output Matrices, Patent Trend Analysis, Scientific Literature Analysis, New Trend Analyses Techniques. Expert Judgment: Interviews, Questionnaires, Group Dynamics Multi-Option Analyses: Scenarios, Simulations, Paths and Trees, Portfolio Analysis Conclusions: Forecasts, Recommendations for Managers
What people are saying - Write a review
We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.
LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1 Trend Extrapolation of Efficiency of White Light
15 other sections not shown
applications approach Battelle cash changes companies complex corporate cross-impact analysis cycle decade Delphi method developed econometric model economic equations evaluate example existing expensive expert judgment explanatory variables factors Figure focus groups forecasting and planning forecasting and strategy forecasting methods forecasting tool future group dynamics group dynamics methods historical analogies I/O table idea identify industry input insight interviews managers market share Martino matrix multi-option analyses nominal group technique occur outcomes participants patent data patent databases patent trend analysis paths and trees personal computer PIMS popularity portfolio analysis predict problem questionnaires questions regression analysis relevance tree relevant risk Risk Matrix S-curves scenario analysis scientific literature analysis series estimation session Shell simulation sodium-sulfur batteries statistical strategy analysis methods structure systems dynamics systems dynamics model tech technological performance technology forecasting tion topic trend analyses trend extrapolation typically variations