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NATURE OF BUSINESS FORECASTING
RATIONALE OF THE STUDY
INDIRECT EVIDENCE RELATED TO
19 other sections not shown
16 series accurate forecasts actual series value analysis average business forecasting casting central value estimators central value forecast chapter coefficients combined scale concerning convergence correlation D-group participants Delphi groups Delphi process deviation discussion group forecasting Dow Jones economic series effects evaluate evidence exhibited expected experimental groups fore forecast change forecasting accuracy forecasting methods forecasting performance Forecasts Higher Forecasts Lower fourth round Free Reserves Given for Forecasts group discussion group members Helmer Hypothesis improved indicated individual accuracy individual forecast differences individual's influential Installment Credit Interquartile Range limited Mann-Whitney measure null hypothesis obtained Olaf Helmer percent personality predicted Prediscussion and Postdiscussion presented primary experiment problem Quarter questionnaire rating instruments Reasons Given relationship relative accuracy relative forecasting relevant information self-confidence in forecasting self-confidence ratings self-confidence scales self-confident subgroups seminar series discussed series forecasted significant subjects Table techniques tendency-to-change score tion Ul-groups uncontrolled-interaction utilized variables vidual