A Methodology for Determining the Freight Border Transportation Impact of the North American Free Trade Agreement
Center for Transportation Research, Bureau of Engineering Research, the University of Texas at Austin, 1996 - Freight and freightage - 126 pages
This report presents a methodology useful in forecasting the effects of NAFTA on the demand for freight transportation at the Texas-Mexico border. In developing long-term estimates of future freight-related traffic crossing the border, the methodology employs three steps: (1) an economic analysis of the region, (2) calibration of modal choice models, and (3) an assessment of inventory practices. This methodology is designed to improve upon previous efforts by considering how NAFTA would alter the economic environment in which firms operate, as well as the decisions these firms make regarding modal choice and shipment size.
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INTERREGIONAL INPUTOUTPUT ANALYSIS
MODAL CHOICE DECISIONS
3 other sections not shown
aggregate border crossings border region Brownsville calibration Chapter choice and shipment choice set Coahuila coefficients commodity group considered containerized decisionmaker demand for freight developed disaggregate Eagle Pass economic effects of NAFTA El Paso estimates factors Federal Highway Administration firm's firms flows forecast horizon freight forecasting freight movement freight network models freight rates freight transportation function highway impacts of NAFTA implementation important increase industries infrastructure input-output analysis input-output model intermodal interregional inventory costs Laredo maquiladora maquilas methodology Mexican Mexico City modal alternatives modal attributes modal choice decisions modal choice model modal share modal split motor carriers optimal output Paso percent perpetual inventory production rail reliability requirements result safety stock selected shipment size shipment sizes shippers and carriers short-run decision stock-out sunk costs survey Table Tamaulipas Texas and Mexico Texas-Mexico border traffic transaction matrix transportation costs transportation impacts truck U.S. exports United volume