A Risk Assessment Methodology for Critical Transportation Infrastructure

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Virginia Transportation Research Council, 2002 - Risk assessment - 48 pages
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Infrastructure protection typifies a problem of risk assessment and management in a large-scale system. This study offers a methodological framework to identify, prioritize, assess, and manage risks. It includes the following major considerations: (1) a holistic approach to risk identification; (2) prioritization of a large number of risks or risk scenarios; (3) structured solicitation and effective integration of expert judgment into qualitative and quantitative analyses to supplement limited data availability; (4) extreme and catastrophic event analysis; and (5) use of multiobjective framework to evaluate management options (i.e., analyzing trade-offs among noncommensurate, conflicting objectives such as risk and cost). The methodology was illustrated using five case studies of selected transportation infrastructures in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

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Contents

INTRODUCTION
1
RESULTS
33
COMPUTING THE CONDITIONAL EXPECTED VALUE OF DAMAGE f4
47

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