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alternate paths approach to modeling arousal and motivation behavior under ATIS Beta Matrix California Transportation Center conflict arousal congestion consistent estimates covariance matrix current path d.f. AGFI RMSR data set destination dichotomous variables direct effects DISCRETE-CHOICE VARIABLES diversion and information ENDDIST VMS TYPETL endogenous discrete-choice probabilities endogenous variables enroute driver behavior FASTCARS freeway Gamma Matrix highway advisory radio hypotheses in-laboratory interactive in-vehicle navigation information acquisition Institute of Transportation interactive simulation IVNS latent discrete-choice factors latent factors Latent Variables least squares LISREL log-likelihood logit model driver behavior MODEL WITH DISCRETE-CHOICE modeling enroute driver normal distribution observed inputs ONTL ONATL ASLINK output parameters Path Analysis polyserial correlation coefficients probability of seeking Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute seeking highway advisory structural equation approach structural equation model Table tetrachoric correlations thresholds total effects Transportation Studies travel behavior travel goals travel objectives University of California variable message signs vector VMS TYPETL TYPEATL weighted least squares