Advances in Decision Research: Selected Proceedings of the 11th Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making : Cambridge, UK, August 23-27, 1987
North-Holland, Jan 1, 1989 - Psychology - 375 pages
These papers stem from a biennial conference which constitutes an international and interdisciplinary forum for scientists dealing with modeling, analyzing and aiding decision processes. The contributions in the first part offer criticisms and challenges for the study of human decision making and the design of valid decision-support methods, programs or systems. The second part presents formal models and empirical analyses of human decision behavior in group situations, connecting perspectives and paradigms from decision theory, game theory and social psychology. The third section examines the practical limits and strengths in the application of decision analysis. The following section is devoted to prescription: How shall we design computer systems to help decision makers? The last group of papers are instructive examples of problem oriented research, exploring the utility of decision research for the analysis of "real" decision processes.
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Karl Halvor Teigen The language of uncertainty
Didier Dubois and Henri Prade Modelling uncertainty and inductive
Bernd Rohrmann Introduction
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alternative Amsterdam approach approp artificial intelligence attributes Bayes theorem behavior Bohanec characteristic functions choice cognitive cooperation cost-benefit analysis criteria decision analysis decision functions decision maker decision problems decision research decision rules decision situation decision support systems decision theory decision-making developed discussion dominance environmental estimates evaluation example experimental expert system frequentist fuzzy fuzzy set grand coalition group members hazard heuristics human imprecision individual inference information seeking interactions Journal judgments Keeney knowledge MCDM expert system MCDM methods MCDSS Messick models multiattribute novices operations outcomes Ozernoy pair coalition payoff phrase political possible postclosure Prade predicted presented probability measures problem structures procedure protocol Psychology Publishers B.V. North-Holland risk assessment scenarios Science Publishers B.V. selection Shanteau Simon rule simulation Slovic social solution specific strategies subjects theory tion uncertainty utility function value tree variables vector verbal Wallsten weights