Alternative Tests of Rational Expectations Models: The Case of the Term Structure

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National Bureau of Economic Research, 1980 - Economic forecasting - 16 pages
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A linearized version of the rational expectations models of the term structure is put forth in terms of a complete vector of equally spaced observations along the yield curve. A data series on intermediate maturity yields which meets the specifications of the model is presented. The model is tested against a specific and easily interpreted alternative. Earlier studies of rational expectations models, which used "volatility tests" or "likelihood ratio tests, " are discussed

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