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Some Practical Aspects of Econometric Forecasting
A Company Econometric Model A Laymans Guide
ABC of Econometric Forecasting
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aggregate analysis assume assumptions average basic innovations behavior business cycle cast causality clients coeffi coefficient of determination Composite Equation consumption data base decision demand dependent variable develop dummy Durbin-Watson statistic econometric forecasting econometric models economists effect employment estimates evaluate example factors Federal Reserve fore forecast error forecasting model forecasting service future growth historical data impact income increase independent inflation input interest rates investment judgment Keynesian Leading Indicators long wave long-term long-wave macro macroeconomic major measures ment methods Monetarist monetary policy money supply multicollinearity natural gas nomic output parameters percent period predict problem production quarter quarterly RADTV regres regression coefficient regression model relationships sample scenario sector service bureau simulation sion statistical structural change system dynamics Table techniques theory tion U.S. economy users validity Wharton Yes Yes