## An Evidential Theory Approach to Judgement-based Decision Making |

### What people are saying - Write a review

We haven't found any reviews in the usual places.

### Common terms and phrases

aleatory ambiguity applied Artiﬁcial Intelligence axioms of probability Bayes Bayesian probability Bayesian probability theory behavior belief functions belief masses bodies of evidence calculation conditional probabilities criterion decision analysis decision features decision index decision maker ignorance decision maker judgments decision model decision problem decision situation decision tree deﬁned degree of ignorance Dempster’s Rule determined EEBj Ellsberg Ellsberg paradox epistemic probabilities Equation evaluation evidential approach evidential belief evidential decision evidential ignorance evidential likelihood interval evidential theory evidential utility interval expected evidential utility expected utility Figure ﬁnal ﬁrst forest manager frame of discernment ignorance preference coefﬁcient likelihood estimation lottery m(Ek maker ignorance preferences Marginal Weather Subdecision mass assignments mass function MBURN MOBILIZE outcomes overlapping P(MBURN Pls(Sj posterior distribution prescribed burn prior distribution probability distribution probability theory proposition quantiﬁed representation represents Shafer signiﬁcant singleton speciﬁc Spt(Sj subjective probability subsets Table uncertainty weather conditions